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依据旅游本底趋势线理论,定量分析了2003年SARS对我国国内旅游的影响,结果显示:SARS危机共造成国内游客损失1.28亿人、客流量损失率12.9%,国内旅游收入损失高达858.44亿元;SARS危机国内旅游损失省际差异较大,具有以华北、华中、华东为中心的环带结构,按客流损失量可划分为四个等级,按客流量损失率可划分为3个等级;进而建立了SARS危机国内旅游损失的空间分析模型,确定了省际间国内客流量损失与国内旅游基数、SARS确诊人数及距疫源中心区位指数之间的函数关系,为SARS危机国内旅游损失及其空间分布研究提供了新的信息。
Based on the theory of tourism background trend line, the quantitative analysis of the impact of SARS on China’s domestic tourism in 2003 was conducted. The results show that the SARS crisis caused a total loss of 128 million domestic tourists, a loss of 12.9% of passenger traffic and a loss of 85.844 billion yuan of domestic tourism revenue . The SARS crisis is characterized by large provincial differences in domestic tourism losses and a belt structure centered on North China, Central China and East China. According to the loss of passenger flow, it can be divided into four levels, which can be divided into three levels according to the loss rate of passenger flow. Established the spatial analysis model of domestic tourism loss caused by SARS crisis and determined the inter-provincial domestic passenger flow loss as a function of domestic tourism base, the number of confirmed SARS patients and the location index from the focal point of the epidemic, Spatial distribution studies provide new information.