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1999年以来,国内市场玉米价格一路下跌,特别是9月份以后,价格出现了难以预料的大跌。据统计,1998年全国玉米种植面积为2524万公顷,产量约为1.33亿吨。由于1999年东北等主产区雨水偏少,温度过高,1999年我国玉米产量将比去年下降8％,为1.22亿吨左右。 据业内人士分析,2000年我国玉米产量可能还会略有下降。主要原因一是农民种植积极性可能会受到影响。据有关资料显示,黑龙江1998年玉米含税生产成本为27.02元,吉林为25.68元。1999年黑龙江玉米并轨保护价为40元(18％水分),比1998年定购价49元、保护价46元分别下降了18.4％和13％。预计吉林省玉米价格可能安排在41元左右、辽宁在42元左右。尽管1999年出台的收购价格仍高于种植成本,但收益率已大大降低,加上今后的市场价格可能低于保护价,因
Since 1999, the price of maize in the domestic market has been falling all the way. Especially since September, the price has dropped unpredictably. According to statistics, in 1998, the area planted with corn was 25.24 million hectares and the output was about 133 million tons. Due to the relatively few rainstorms and high temperatures in major producing areas in Northeast China in 1999, the output of maize in China will drop by 8% over 1999 to about 122 million tons. According to industry analysts, China’s corn production in 2000 may be slightly lower. One of the main reasons is that farmers’ enthusiasm for planting may be affected. According to relevant information, the production cost of corn in Heilongjiang Province in 1998 was 27.02 yuan and that for Jilin was 25.68 yuan. In 1999, the protection price of corn in Heilongjiang was 40 yuan (18% of water), a price of 49 yuan compared with the purchase price of 1998 and a decrease of 18.4% and 13% respectively from the protection price of 46 yuan. It is estimated that the price of corn in Jilin Province may be arranged at about 41 yuan and Liaoning at about 42 yuan. Although the purchase price introduced in 1999 is still higher than the planting cost, the yield has been greatly reduced. In addition, the market price in the future may be lower than the protection price due to