从实证角度对世界森林资源状况和中国木材原料进口需求进行了分析研究,探索中、长期林产品市场变化及其政策选择。中国主要木材原料进口及木制品出口的“两头在外”格局仍在延续,中长期刚性需求依然存在,2007年原木进口高峰年为3709.08万m3。1995～2007年中国原木进口对出口国的森林生态影响较小,没有威胁到世界森林资源。 From an empirical point of view the world’s forest resources and the demand for China’s imports of timber raw materials were analyzed to explore the medium and long-term forest products market changes and their policy options. China’s imports of wood raw materials and wood products exports “two heads are outside ” pattern is still continuing, the long-term rigid demand still exists in 2007 the peak annual import of logs was 37,090,800 m3. 1995 ~ 2007 China’s imports of logs to exporting countries Forest ecological impact is small, does not threaten the world’s forest resources.