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以蛇口——香港机场航线为例,分析航线运量需求不平衡的特点,指出灰色波形预测及季节周期法两种现有预测方法存在的不足,为使航线客流量预测值更符合实际,提出季节-灰色组合预测模型,以实例计算证明该模型的可行性。
Taking Shekou-Hong Kong airport route as an example, the imbalance of route traffic demand is analyzed, and the existing shortcomings of gray waveform prediction and seasonal cycle method are pointed out. In order to make the prediction of route traffic more realistic, Seasonal-gray combination forecasting model, and an example to prove the feasibility of the model.