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新世纪初年 ,台湾经济出现近 5 0年来罕见的衰退 ,各项经济指标全面恶化 ,创下战后最低记录。台湾经济陷入谷底的原因 ,除了世界经济不景气和台湾经济进入结构性调整等因素外 ,岛内投资环境恶化以及两岸关系前景不明等也是重要因素。未来台湾经济将从中增长时期进入低增长时期 ,如果台湾无法充分运用祖国大陆的资源与优势 ,甚至可能出现“L”型增长趋势 ,即由“长盛期”转入“长衰期”。
In the early years of the new century, the Taiwan economy saw a rare recession in the recent 50 years, with various economic indicators worsening in all aspects and setting the lowest post-war record. The reasons for Taiwan’s economic downturn are also important factors in addition to the global economic downturn and the structural adjustment of Taiwan’s economy. Factors such as deteriorating investment environment in the island and unclear prospects for cross-Strait relations are also important factors. In the future, the economy of Taiwan will enter a period of low growth from the period of its growth. If Taiwan can not make full use of the resources and advantages of its motherland, an “L” -type growth trend may even emerge from “long period” to “long period.”