论文部分内容阅读
本文以2005年1月到2016年7月期间,台湾地区对大陆的投资强度、中国大陆对世界各大洲的进出口强度、大陆的月度同比消费增长率和内资固定资产投资增长率的月度数据为样本,从中国大陆的消费、内资固定资产投资和进出口对台湾地区向大陆投资产生的需求角度,基于误差修正模型(ECM)分析台湾地区对大陆的真实投资强度。研究表明,大陆的消费和内资固定资产投资产生的投资需求大约分别占台湾地区对大陆投资总额的15.65%和20.37%,因此其对大陆的真实投资强度大约为名义投资强度的36.02%,而大约63.98%的台湾地区对大陆的投资额由转口贸易(进出口)的需求引起。
This article from January 2005 to July 2016 period, Taiwan’s investment intensity on the mainland, mainland China on the continents of the world import and export intensity, monthly growth rate of the mainland’s monthly and domestic fixed asset investment growth rate of monthly data The sample analyzes the true investment intensity of Taiwan in mainland China based on the error correction model (ECM) from the perspectives of consumption, domestic investment in fixed assets and import and export of domestic investment in mainland China. The research shows that the investment demand generated by the consumption and domestic investment in fixed assets accounts for about 15.65% and 20.37% of the total investment in the Mainland respectively in Taiwan. Therefore, the real investment intensity on the mainland is about 36.02% of the nominal investment intensity, while about 63.98% of Taiwan’s investment in the mainland is caused by the demand for entrepot trade (import and export).