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本文意图探讨辽宁省税收收入对经济增长的影响。采用单位根检验和协整检验对1985-2014年辽宁省税收收入与经济增长之间的关系进行实证研究,结果表明1985-2014年辽宁省税收收入与GDP数据都是一阶单整,可进行协整检验,且它们之间具有长期稳定的协整关系。文章最后利用VAR模型和脉冲响应函数,得出辽宁省税收收入是本地区经济增长的重要解释变量之一的结论,进一步分析可知税收收入增加1%,地区GDP也会随之增长,最高时可增长1.7%。
This article intends to explore the tax revenue in Liaoning Province on economic growth. Empirical study of the relationship between tax revenue and economic growth of Liaoning Province from 1985 to 2014 by unit root test and cointegration test shows that the tax revenue and GDP data of Liaoning Province are all from 1985 to 2014, Cointegration test, and between them has a long-term stable co-integration relationship. Finally, the paper concludes by using VAR model and impulse response function that the tax revenue in Liaoning Province is one of the important explanatory variables of economic growth in this region. Further analysis shows that when the tax revenue increases by 1%, the regional GDP will also increase. Increase by 1.7%.