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2014年以来,受国内经济增速放缓的影响,加之氯碱行业又逢结构调整的关键转型时期,烧碱、聚氯乙烯(PVC)两大产品市场价格持续下滑。企业近年来“以碱补氯”的盈利模式已然发生改变,“氯碱齐低”情况更加明显。在烧碱、PVC价格双双走跌的背景下,企业盈利能力大幅减弱。进入第四季度氯碱行业仍然处于艰难的转型时期,产能扩张步伐持续趋缓。预计第四季度主要氯碱产品在宏观经济发展趋缓、供需矛盾突出的大背景下仍然将在低位徘徊。
Since 2014, due to the slowdown of the domestic economic growth and the critical restructuring cycle of the chlor-alkali industry, the market prices of caustic soda and polyvinyl chloride (PVC) products have continued to decline. In recent years, enterprises have changed the profit model of “supplementing chlorine with alkali”, and the situation of “low chlor-alkali” is even more obvious. In the caustic soda, PVC prices both go down in the context of corporate profitability significantly weakened. Into the fourth quarter of the chlor-alkali industry is still in a difficult period of transition, capacity expansion continued to slow down. It is estimated that the major chlor-alkali products in the fourth quarter will remain at low levels in the context of macroeconomic slowdown and prominent contradiction between supply and demand.