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提出了以期望人口为核心的水资源承载力指标体系，并应用于柴达木盆地水资源承载力的实际研究． 用柴达木盆地水资源承载力系统动力学仿真模型（ＳＤＳＭＷＲＳＣＣＢ）计算了人口等承载力指标的预测值，把期望值和预测值进行了深入分析比较，推断出柴达木盆地水资源承载力．
Put forward the index system of water resources carrying capacity with the population as the core and apply it to the actual research of water resources carrying capacity in Qaidam basin. Based on the system dynamics simulation model of water resources carrying capacity in Chaidamu Basin (SDSMWRSCCB), the predicted value of population bearing capacity index was calculated. The expected value and predicted value were analyzed and compared in depth to deduce the water resource carrying capacity of Qaidam Basin.