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全球经济的发展出现了多极化的趋势,新兴经济体的经济发展尤为令人瞩目。近十年,新兴经济体的出口增长显著,本文尝试从出口多样性角度来解释出口的快速增长。本文首先回顾了出口多样性和出口绩效的理论背景,介绍了出口多样性的衡量方法,并利用广义边际法计算出中国及其他新兴经济体、发展中国家及地区、发达国家的出口多样性,对其发展趋势进行了国际比较。最后,利用跨国面板数据进行实证分析,得出了本文结论:出口多样性对出口绩效有显著的正的影响。
The development of the global economy has shown a tendency of multi-polarization. The economic development in emerging economies is particularly remarkable. In the recent decade, the emerging economies have seen significant growth in exports. This article attempts to explain the rapid growth of exports from the perspective of export diversity. This paper first reviews the theoretical background of export diversity and export performance, introduces the measurement of export diversification, and uses the generalized marginal method to calculate the export diversification of China, other emerging economies, developing countries and regions and developed countries, An international comparison of their development trends has been made. Finally, empirical analysis using cross-border panel data leads to the conclusion that export diversity has a significant positive impact on export performance.