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采用IPCC碳排放技术指南提供的能源消费碳排放计算模式,估算了长三角区域1995~2007年间的人均碳排放量,并采用因素分解模型定量分析了能源结构、能源强度、经济发展对该地区碳排放的影响。结果表明,经济发展为人均碳排放量增长的主要因素,能源强度的下降和能源结构的改善在一定程度上对经济发展带来的增长起到了抑制作用。
Based on the calculation model of carbon emissions from energy consumption provided by the IPCC Technical Guidelines for Carbon Emissions, carbon emissions per capita in the Yangtze River Delta Region were estimated from 1995 to 2007, and the factor decomposition model was used to quantitatively analyze the effect of energy structure, energy intensity and economic development on carbon Impact of emissions. The results show that the economic development is the main factor of per capita carbon emissions growth, the decline of energy intensity and the improvement of energy structure to a certain extent, the growth of economic development has been inhibited.