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目的:建立战时伤病员生存模型,实现对战时伤病员的生存模拟。方法:采用专家问卷调研法,获取战时救治机构伤病员生存概率数据;对调研数据进行曲线拟合,获取基于救治机构类型和救治开始时间的伤病员生存函数。结果:构建了基于救治机构类型和任意救治开始时间的伤病员生存模型,实现对伤病员生存情况的模拟。结论:伤病员生存模型对丰富和发展时效救治理论、更准确地模拟伤病员的医疗后送具有重要意义。
OBJECTIVE: To establish a survival model of wounded and sick patients in wartime and to realize the survival simulation of wounded and sick patients in wartime. Methods: The expert questionnaire method was used to obtain the survival probability data of wounded and sick patients in wartime treatment institutions. The data of the investigation were curve fitted to get the survival function of wounded and sick patients based on the type of treatment and the start time of treatment. Results: The survival model of wounded and sick patients based on the type of treatment and the starting time of any treatment was constructed to simulate the survival of wounded and sick. Conclusion: The survival model of wounded and sick patients is of great significance for enriching and developing the theory of time-saving treatment and accurately simulating the medical evacuation of wounded and sick.