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尽管今年上半年经济表现平淡,但人们普遍认为下半年会有所好转。究竟下半年全球经济发展趋势如何呢?年初,绝大多数经济观察家以务实的态度看待美国经济增长速度。与以往一样,正面观点和负面观点共同存在,但公认的结论是,2013年经济实质增长将达到2%左右。美联储实施积极的货币宽松政策,其中大量资金(可能约总量的3/4)流向金融资产,进而推动股票价格上涨,并将利率保持在低位。由于股市表现强劲,一些经济
Despite the flat economic performance in the first half of this year, it is generally believed that the second half of the year will be somewhat improved. After all, what is the trend of global economic development in the second half of the year? At the beginning of this year, most economic observers viewed the U.S. economic growth pragmatically. As usual, positive and negative views coexist, but the accepted conclusion is that the real economic growth in 2013 will reach around 2%. The Federal Reserve has implemented an aggressive monetary easing policy, in which a large amount of money (perhaps about three-quarters of the total) flows to financial assets, thereby boosting stock prices and keeping interest rates low. Due to the strong performance of the stock market, some economies