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提出9000亿元提振房地产投资计划后,还需要政策的相机调整受全球金融危机不确定性以及房地产市场存在多方博弈等因素的影响,2009年及未来一段时间中国房地产市场充满了不确定性,但是最有可能的发展趋势是衰退加快,复苏提前。2009年及未来一段时间,房地产市场总体上看有以下四种可能性:深度表退,市场崩盘。一方面,全球金融危机加速和加重房地产市场的下滑,另一方面,重新紧缩或不太宽松的
After 900 billion yuan is proposed to boost the real estate investment plan, the policy camera adjustment is also required. Influenced by the uncertainties of the global financial crisis and the multi-party game in the real estate market, China’s real estate market is full of uncertainty in 2009 and in the future. However, the most likely development trend is the accelerated recession and the recovery ahead of schedule. In 2009 and some time in the future, the real estate market as a whole has the following four possibilities: the depth of retirement, the market collapse. On the one hand, the global financial crisis is accelerating and aggravating the decline of the real estate market. On the other hand, it is either re-deflated or less generous