论文部分内容阅读
按照入世承诺,2003年起中国医疗服务业将正式对外开放。 统计数据表明,目前中国卫生总支出已经接近4800亿元,约占国民生产总值的5.3％。如果年增长速度为13％,到2005年中国医疗产业的总市场额将为6400亿元。五年内平均增长额不少于1500亿元,市场空间十分巨大。 2003年中国的医疗消费在GDP中所占比重将升至8％～10％,相应的医疗保健市场将被放大数倍。诺贝尔经济学获得者罗伯特·福格尔不久前预测,中国医疗市场可能出现与上个世纪70年代的美国相类似的爆发式增长。
According to the WTO commitment, China’s medical service industry will officially open to the outside world in 2003. Statistics show that at present, China’s total health expenditure is close to 480 billion yuan, accounting for about 5.3% of the GNP. If the annual growth rate is 13%, the total market value of the Chinese medical industry by 2005 will be 640 billion yuan. The average growth in five years is no less than 150 billion yuan, and the market space is huge. In 2003, the share of China’s medical consumption in GDP will rise to 8% to 10%, and the corresponding healthcare market will be magnified several times. Robert Fogel, the Nobel economics economist, recently predicted that the Chinese medical market may experience explosive growth similar to that of the United States in the 1970s.