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通过对滇西下关、弥渡、洱源江干、洱源滇２０＃、保山等水汞在１２次地震前异常特征分析的结果表明：汞异常形态清楚，异常变化率大，单项以多点突跳为主，整体以群体突跳为主；短临异常持续时间数十天，地震多数发生在首次异常后２３—１１１天的８８天之内；大震存在中短期异常和时空演变规律；对应地震范围受震中距和地震构造的双重制约，似乎与孕震能大小和传播途径有关；大体存在异常持续时间越长，异常数量越多，震级越大的关系；群体指标比单项指标预报效能强。作者最后对预报指标可能的物理机制进行了讨论。
Through the analysis of the anomalous characteristics of water mercury in Shimonoseki, Midu, Eryuanjiang, Eryuan, Dian, and Baoshan in the western Yunnan before 12 earthquakes, the anomalous morphology of mercury is clear and the abnormal rate of change is large. Sudden jump mainly dominated by crowd sudden jump; Short-term anomalous duration of dozens of days, most of the earthquakes occurred within 88 days after the first anomaly 23-111 days; large and medium-term short-term anomalies and spatial-temporal evolution; Corresponding to the dual constraints of the epicentral distance and the seismotectonic range of the seismic range, it seems that the magnitude of the seismogenic energy is related to the magnitude of the seismogenic energy and the route of propagation; the longer the anomaly duration, the greater the number of anomalies, the greater the magnitude of the earthquake; Strong. Finally, the author discusses the possible physical mechanism of the forecast index.