一、引言在八十年代,东盟国家的出口势头受到了在其外部经济环境中所出现的一些相互矛盾的变化的挑战。在八十年代的一开头,所有的主要工业化国家就出现了严重的经济衰退,同时还出现商品价格的大幅度下跌和美元汇率的迅速上升。由于东盟国家出口目的地的格局以及东盟各国货币对美元的比率实际上已确定,上述变化往往使东盟国家将其制成品出口额在七十年代的成功扩大延续到八十年代的努力归于失败。另一方面,由巨额预 I. INTRODUCTION In the 1980s, the export momentum of the ASEAN countries was challenged by some contradictory changes in their external economic environment. In the early 1980s, all major industrialized countries experienced a severe economic recession, accompanied by a sharp drop in commodity prices and the rapid rise of the U.S. dollar. Due to the pattern of export destinations of ASEAN countries and the fact that the ratio of ASEAN currencies to the US dollar has in fact been determined, the above changes often fail ASEAN countries’ efforts to extend the success of their manufactured exports in the 1970s to the 1980s . On the other hand, by huge foregone