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你可以将阿尔文·托夫勒称作现实世界的一个先知:自1980年代初、其著作《第三次浪潮》(The Third Wave)出版以来,他就成为“美国最受公众喜爱的未来学家”。该书被翻译成30多种语言,发行上千万本,影响了包括韩国总统金大中和美国在线总裁史蒂夫·凯斯在内的几代人。托氏的这部作品涉及社会发展、文化、传媒、组织、科学、计算机、政治和经济等诸多领域,但所有的论述都为了一个目的服务,那就是准确地判断未来的趋势。通过对于历史的研究,他提出了三次浪潮的理论。具体而言:第一次浪潮产生于约公元10000年以前,人类第一次撒种、培育农作物生长,其划时代的意义在于人类从此脱离了游牧,定居生活把人们的生活范围固定下来,开始发展城镇和自己的文化,农业时代来临。第二次浪潮始于18世纪,以工业革命为契机,离开农场,涌向大城市寻找生机。第三次浪潮是人类思想的又一次大变革,这就是我们所
You can call Alvin Toffler a real-world prophet: since the publication of The Third Wave in the early 1980s, he has become “America’s most beloved future for the public Learner ”. The book was translated into more than 30 languages and issued tens of millions of copies, affecting several generations, including South Korea’s President Kim Dae-jung and AIA President Steve Case. The work of Tohchink relates to many fields such as social development, culture, media, organization, science, computer science, politics and economy. However, all the arguments serve one purpose and that is to accurately judge the future trend. Through the study of history, he put forward the theory of three times of tide. Specifically, the first wave originated in about 10,000 BC, when man first sowed and fostered the growth of crops. Its epoch-making significance lies in the fact that mankind has been separated from nomadic land. Settlements have fixed the scope of people’s lives and started to develop The town and its own culture, the agricultural age is coming. The second wave began in the 18th century, taking the industrial revolution as an opportunity to leave the farm and flock to the big cities to look for opportunities. The third wave is another great revolution in human thought. This is what we are