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展望90年代及21世纪,我国面临严峻的宏观约束。人口。由于基数庞大,增长势头仍很猛烈,每年净增1500—1600多万,相当于一个中等国家如澳大利亚的人口总数。即使严格执行现行人口政策,到本世纪末人口总数仍将达到12.5亿以上,稍有放松,就可能突破13亿大关。这将给未来几十年的人口控制和经济发展增添很大困难。人口素质短期内也难有明显改善。资源。随着人口增长和经济发展,各种有限资源的人均占有水平将持续下降,对资源的
Looking into the 1990s and the 21st century, our country is facing severe macro-economic constraints. population. Due to the large base, the growth momentum is still very strong with a net increase of more than 15 million to 16 million annually, equivalent to the total population of a medium-sized country such as Australia. Even if the current population policy is strictly implemented, the total population will reach more than 1.25 billion by the end of this century. With a slight relaxation, it may break the 1.3 billion mark. This will create great difficulties for population control and economic development in the coming decades. The quality of the population will hardly be significantly improved in the short term. Resources. With population growth and economic development, the per-capita level of various limited resources will continue to decline, and resources