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“新共识”经济学开始于20世纪90年代,其核心思想是真实利率和自然利率的差异将导致产出缺口,进而影响了通胀水平,央行应该观察通胀水平,调节真实利率让其向自然利率靠拢,从而将通胀和经济增长维持在目标水平。“新共识”经济学诞生以后在中国一直没有得到广泛的应用,其假设条件同我国现实国情存在着较大差距是主要原因。随着利率市场化和我国货币政策调控方式的转变,“新共识”经济学未来将在我国获得更广阔的应用前景。
“New Consensus ” Economics began in the 1990s, the core idea is that the difference between the real interest rate and the natural interest rate will lead to the output gap, thereby affecting the inflation level. The central bank should observe the inflation level and adjust the real interest rate so that the Close to the natural interest rate, thus maintaining inflation and economic growth at the target level. “New Consensus ” economics has not been widely used in China after its birth, and its assumptions and the reality of our country there is a big gap between the main reason. With the marketization of interest rates and the change of the mode of monetary policy in our country, the future promise of “new consensus” will get a broader application prospect in our country.