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尽管1998年我国经受了特大洪涝灾害,但是粮食产量仍在持续增长,我国粮油市场的平衡运作又有了可依托的保证。展望1999年我国粮油市场,将呈现以下一些特点:1.小麦市场价格将走向回升。我国是一个小麦净进口国,每年进口小麦数百万吨。因此,我国小麦市场价格不仅受国内供求状况的变化影响,而且也受国际市场小麦价格的变化牵动。从全球范围来看,目前小麦消费量呈现增长的势头。由于占全球需求总量40%的亚太地区的经济将逐步恢复,该地区对小麦需求的增长幅度也将随之增大。这样,刺激国际市场小麦价格的上涨,势必拉动我国小麦市场价格的反弹。但我国小麦市场
Despite China’s severe flooding in 1998, grain production continued to grow, and the balanced operation of the grain and oil market in China has a reliable guarantee. Looking ahead to the China’s grain and oil market in 1999, it will present the following characteristics: 1. Wheat market prices will go up. China is a net wheat importer and imports millions of tons of wheat each year. Therefore, the price of wheat in China’s market is not only affected by changes in the supply and demand conditions in the country, but also by changes in wheat prices in the international market. From a global perspective, current wheat consumption shows a momentum of growth. As the economy in the Asia-Pacific region, which accounts for 40% of global demand, will gradually recover, the demand for wheat in the region will also increase. In this way, stimulating the rise of wheat prices in the international market will inevitably stimulate the rebound in the price of wheat in China. But our country’s wheat market