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按照小、中、大年,三年一个周期来推算,2014年行情应该要比2013年好,从存栏上来看比2013年要低,预计全年鸡蛋均价为7.8元/千克左右,全年鸡蛋价格行情呈现出前高后低的态势。鸡蛋期货自2013年11月8日上市后整体运行平稳,日均交易量近98000手,日均持仓量超过80000手。但2014年伊始,不断发酵的禽流感疫情令鸡蛋期货颇为受伤。国内著名农产品数据提供商芝华数据,近期联合蛋鸡行业研究员分析师召开了2014年首期鸡蛋期货投资交流会3C电话会议,各位嘉宾就全国蛋雏鸡的销售和全国蛋鸡的存栏数据进行了分析和解读。分析师们认为2014年鸡蛋供应相对偏紧,下半年蛋价或迎来“春天”。
According to the small, medium and large annual, three-year cycle to projections, the market in 2014 should be better than 2013, from the hoarding point of view is lower than in 2013, the annual average price of eggs is estimated at 7.8 yuan / kg, the annual Egg prices showed a trend of high before low. Since its listing on November 8, 2013, Egg Futures has been operating smoothly with an average daily trading volume of nearly 98000 hands and an average daily position of more than 80,000 hands. However, since the beginning of 2014, the epidemic of the continuously fermented bird flu has caused quite a serious injury to the egg futures. Domestic well-known agricultural data provider Zhihua data, the recent joint layer of the chicken industry researcher analyst held the first phase of the 2014 egg futures investment exchange conference 3C conference call, ladies and gentlemen on the national sales of egg chickens and the national data of laying hens were carried out Analysis and interpretation. Analysts believe that the supply of eggs in 2014 is relatively tight, and the price of eggs in the second half of the year or usher in “spring”.