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本文在讨论影响医院运营战略目标的制定因素和传统的目标制定方法基础上提出一种基于数据挖掘方法———完备型时间序列模型,力图改进和提高医院运营战略目标的质量。本方法能够充分考虑医院历史和现有的运营状况,屏蔽高层决策者主观因素的干扰,从长期运营趋势、季节性指数和循环经济指数三方面同时着手,综合制定可行性战略运营目标。另外,模型还提供了战略目标的质量评价方法,为决策者提供有力的决策依据,使得该模型能够真正起到战略目标制定的决策支持作用。
This paper proposes a data mining method--complete time series model based on the discussion of the factors influencing the strategic objectives of hospital operations and the traditional goal-setting methods, in an effort to improve and improve the quality of hospital operations strategic goals. This method can fully consider the hospital’s history and existing operating conditions, shield the interference of subjective factors of high-level decision makers, and proceed from the three aspects of long-term operation trend, seasonal index and circular economy index at the same time, and comprehensively formulate feasible strategic operational goals. In addition, the model also provides quality assessment methods for strategic objectives, providing decision-makers with strong decision-making basis, so that the model can truly play a strategic role in the decision-making support.