2003年以来,在国内市场需求的拉动下,我国钢材价格持续上涨,产量快速增长,钢材市场货紧价扬。截至2003年11月底,我国成为世界上第一个年产钢超过2亿吨的国家。在钢铁产量快速增长的同时,我国钢材价格也出现近10年来最大幅度的全面上涨。 一、2004年国内钢材价格走势的初步判断 据国际货币基金组织预测,2004年世界经济增长率为4.1％。中国GDP增速将维持在8％,工业生产增长13％左右,全社会固定资产 Since 2003, driven by the demand in the domestic market, the prices of steel products in our country have been on the rise, the output has been rapidly increasing, and the prices of steel products have risen sharply. As of the end of November 2003, our country has become the first country in the world with an annual output of more than 200 million tons of steel. In the meantime, with the rapid growth of steel output, the price of steel in our country has risen the most in the recent 10 years. I. Preliminary Judgment on the Price Trend of Domestic Steel Products in 2004 According to the International Monetary Fund, the world economic growth rate in 2004 was 4.1%. China’s GDP growth will remain at 8%, industrial production increased by about 13%, the entire social fixed assets