Network Traffic Based on GARCH-M Model and Extreme Value Theory

来源 :天津大学学报(英文版) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:cyh
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
GARCH-M (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity in the mean) model is used to analyse the volatility clustering phenomenon in mobile communication network traffic.Normal distribution, t distribution and generalized Pareto distribution assumptions are adopted respectively to simulate the random component in the model. The demonstration of the quantile of network traffic series indicates that common GARCH-M model can partially deal with the "fat tail"problem. However, the "fat tail" characteristic of the random component directly affects the accuracy of the calculation. Even t distribution is based on the assumption for all the data. On the other hand, extreme value theory, which only concentrates on the tail distribution, can provide more accurate result for high quantiles. The best result is obtained based on the generalized Pareto distribution assumption for the random component in the GARCH-M model.
其他文献
近些年,自主创新在区域经济发展中的地位越来越重要,工业园区作为区域经济发展的载体为技术创新扩散提供了较好的平台.本文从技术创新扩散机制出发,研究了其理论内容,并将该
阐述了在红外光谱中使用的物理量的定义、符号和单位,并介绍了如何利用谱图中含有的信息发现量的符号和单位使用错误的方法,最后给出了描述红外光谱时使用符号的含义和用法.
To confirm whether Magnetic Memory Method can be used to evaluate the fatigue damage of ferromagnetic part or not,this paper stated the principle of magnetic me
The feedforward and feedback control strategy of water flowrate based on the analysis of thermal process in water cooling box was proposed, and the control stra
在青藏公路与铁路沿途区域,利用1981年至2001年的8km分辨率PathfinderNOAA/NDVI数据,基于每个象元变化的年植被峰值计算进行了像元水平的线性趋势分析,并运用地理信息系统(GI
利用蒙特卡罗(Monte Carlo)模拟产生的数据研究了由ARGO探测阵列所观测的,由能量为100GeV-10TeV,天顶角为0°-45°的原初γ射线和强子(质子和原子核)所引起的簇射的横向分布
为探究吕家坨井田地质构造格局,根据钻孔勘探资料,采用分形理论和趋势面分析方法,研究了井田7
To study the effect of high temperature, rice seedlings 20, 30, 40 and 50 d were kept at 5, 10, 15 and 20 cm water depth in a water pool. Meteorological finding
A new algorithm for unsupervised hyperspectral data unmixing is investigated, which includes a modified minimum noise fraction (MNF) transformation and independ
An adaptive image denosing technique was proposed to achieve the tradeoff between details retain and noises removal. In order to achieve this objective, the con