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本文依据莱州湾羊角沟、夏营两站建国以来的风暴增水资料,对莱州湾建国后发生的风暴潮进行了统计分析,并探讨了温带风暴潮产生的物理机制,此外还对莱州湾温带风暴增水以及诱发增水的天气形势进行了分析分类。在此基础上建立了莱州湾温带风暴潮统计预报方法,并在作业预报中对模型进行了检验,取得较为理想的效果。
Based on the data of storm surge since the founding of Laizhou Bay in Goujiagou and Xiaying two stations, the paper analyzes the storm surge occurred after the founding of Laizhou Bay and discusses the physical mechanism of temperate storm surges. In addition, Storm water increased and induced by the weather situation were analyzed and classified. On this basis, a statistical forecast method of temperate storm surge in the Laizhou Bay was established, and the model was tested in the job forecasting to obtain a more satisfactory result.