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众所周知,1995年下半年,俄罗斯经济出现了相对稳定趋势,基本上实现了“零”的增长。因此,俄政府对经济发展产生了乐观情绪,认为1996年将是俄罗斯经济开始增长的一年。但是,当时亦有一部分经济学家持不同看法,认为1995年下半年俄经济中出现的稳定趋势主要源于国际原料市场价格上扬,刺激了俄罗斯的出口企业,而这种情况是不能持久的。他们认为,1996年俄罗斯经济不会出现转折。
As we all know, Russia’s economy showed a relatively steady trend in the second half of 1995, basically achieving “zero” growth. Therefore, the Russian government has been optimistic about the economic development and believes that 1996 will be the year when Russia’s economy starts to grow. However, at that time, some economists also held a different view that the steady trend in the Russian economy in the second half of 1995 was mainly due to the fact that the prices of raw materials in the international market rose and stimulated Russian export enterprises, and this situation can not be sustained. They think there will be no turning point in the Russian economy in 1996.