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据市场分析表明,今后一段时间内,我国粮油供大于求的买方市场格局仍不会改变,粮油价格不存在大幅度上涨的可能性。 在新粮上市期间,市场粮食价格仍将以国家保护价为基础,部分地区市场价格可能略低于国家保护价,收购季节过后,部分地区市场价格可望略高于国家保护价水平。从品种看,小麦将稳定在现价位,如果气候条件欠佳,年中每吨有可能突破1600元;大米价格可能会维持在现在水平,其中籼米价格会有小幅下行,东北等地的优质大米将比上年有所上涨。产、销区玉米价格比上年均会有不同程度的上扬,产区每吨在1000~1250元,销区在1250~1400元之间徘徊。大豆收购期间,产区将有3~5个百分点的下跌,销区将维护在现价位。
According to market analysis, in the future some time, the market pattern of the buyers with oversupply of grain and oil in our country will not change, and the price of grain and oil will not rise drastically. During the new grain market, the market price of grain will still be based on the national protection price. The market price in some areas may be slightly lower than the national protection price. After the acquisition season, the market price in some areas is expected to be slightly higher than the national protection price level. From the species perspective, wheat will stabilize at current price, if the climatic conditions are not good, it is possible to break through 1600 yuan per ton in mid-year; the price of rice may remain at present level, in which the price of indica rice will slightly lower; Will have risen over the previous year. Production and sales of corn than the previous year will have different levels of price increases, producing areas per ton in the 1000 ~ 1250 yuan, sales in the 1250 ~ 1400 yuan hovering. During the acquisition of soybean, the producing areas will have 3 to 5 percentage points down, the sales area will be maintained at the current price.