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居民消费价格指数是我国物价指数体系中极其重要的一个指数,主要反映消费者支付商品和劳务的价格变化情况,也是一种度量通货膨胀水平的工具,以百分比变化为表达形式。我国改革开放以来,社会经济的各方面发生巨大的变换,居民消费价格指数的变动也显示出自身的特点,本文主要是应用非平稳时间序列和数学统计软件Eviews对历年的居民消费价格指数进行相关分析、处理并建立模型,这有利于我们认识它与社会经济发展相联系的变动规律,文章最后根据所建立的模型举例进行了预测。
The consumer price index is an extremely important index in China’s price index system. It mainly reflects the changes in the prices paid by consumers for goods and services. It is also a measure of inflation and is expressed as a percentage change. Since the reform and opening up of our country, great changes have taken place in all aspects of social economy. The changes in the consumer price index also show their own characteristics. This paper mainly uses non-stationary time series and mathematical statistics software Eviews to correlate the consumer price index over the years Analysis, processing and modeling, which is conducive to our understanding of its social and economic development associated with the law of change, the article is based on the model established by the end of the forecast.