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近日,国际能源署(IEA)发布了《世界能源展望2014》报告,对2040年的全球能源图景进行了展望:全球一次能源需求将增长37%,世界人口和经济仍然继续增长,但与过去相比,走上了能源强度较低的发展路径。世界能源供应结构中石油、天然气、煤炭和低碳能源(核能和可再生能源)的占比将平分秋色;全球对煤炭和石油的需求将达到峰值。全球天然气的需求将增长50%以上,是化石燃料中增长最快的,日益灵活的全球液化天然气贸易降低了天然气供应中断的风险。
Recently, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released the “World Energy Outlook 2014” report, which looks at the global energy landscape in 2040: the global primary energy demand will grow by 37% and the world population and economy will continue to grow. However, in contrast with the past Than embarked on a lower energy intensity development path. The share of oil, gas, coal and low-carbon energy (nuclear and renewable energy) in the world energy supply structure will be equal; the global demand for coal and oil will peak. The global demand for natural gas will grow by more than 50%, the fastest-growing fossil fuel, and the increasingly flexible global trading of liquefied natural gas will reduce the risk of gas supply disruptions.