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消费需求的规模扩大和结构升级是经济增长的根本动力,而中国城镇居民消费是启动消费需求的最主要力量。本文根据1990-2008年我国官方统计数据,利用SPSS统计分析软件,采用回归方法进行数据的筛选,并将通过各项统计检验回归模型作为我国城镇居民消费行为的计量变动轨迹,理性地从宏观经济视野研究驱动我国城镇居民从消费需求到消费行为过程中的重要动因,并提出引导城镇居民理性消费行为的对策,这对于我国提升消费拉动的经济增长具有重要的理论与现实意义。
The expansion of the scale of consumer demand and the upgrading of the structure are the fundamental engines of economic growth. The consumption of urban residents in China is the most important force in starting consumer demand. Based on China’s official statistical data from 1990 to 2008, this paper uses SPSS statistical analysis software, using regression method to select the data, and through the statistical test of regression model as the measurement of urban residents’ consumption behavior change trajectory, from the macroeconomic The field of vision studies the important motivation that drives the urban residents in our country from consumer demand to consumer behavior and puts forward the countermeasures to guide the rational consumer behavior of urban residents, which has important theoretical and practical significance for our country to promote the economic growth driven by consumption.