在预测者中间通常有这样一些观点,乐观主义者把1986年国民生产总值的加速增长看作是经济正在恢复正常,而悲观主义者则预测下一次经济衰退将发生在未来12个月内的某个时刻.目前我尚未发现下一次经济衰退的起因,它们也许存在,但其萌芽现在还看不见,通常在经济衰退之前出现的那些因素亦未出现.根据标准调查,消费者的情绪仍然很高.美国工业中存在着大量过剩的生产能力; Often, among the forecasters, there are opinions that optimists regard the accelerating growth of GNP in 1986 as returning to normality while pessimists predict the next recession will occur in the next 12 months At some point, I have not yet discovered the cause of the next recession, they may exist, but their sprout is still invisible, and those factors that usually preceded the recession did not appear.According to the standard survey, consumer sentiment remains very There is a great excess of productive capacity in American industry;