受欧债危机与世界经济增速放缓影响,2012年我国出口增速大幅回落,国内经济发展面临的困难增多。中央坚持稳中求进的总基调,积极应对,主动调整,把稳增长放在更加重要的位置,加大了预调和微调的力度,着力扩大内需,稳定外需,经济运行初步显现了触底企稳的迹象。当前我国宏观经济运行中突出的问题是,经济增长仍处于低位运行,尽管在投资等领域出现了一些触底企稳的积极因素,但基础还不牢固,外需的不确定性仍然很大,经济下行压力仍然较大,产能过剩问题突出,企业经济效益明显下降。在国际经济形势尚不明朗,仍存在下行的风险。当前,处理好稳增长、调结构、抓改革的关键,是把稳增长放在更加重要的位置上。继续实施积极的财政政策和稳健的货币政策。在防止过剩产能进一步扩大的前提下,把稳定投资增长作为短期稳定经济增长,防止经济增速进一步下滑的最有效、最直接的措施。2013年应加大积极财政政策的实施力度,适当扩大赤字规模,继续把结构性减税作为实施积极财政政策的重心,进一步加大结构性减税的力度,扩大“营改增”的实施地区和实施范围,适当降低增值税的标准税率,使结构性减税在稳增长、调结构中发挥更积极的效应。此外,应积极推动技术创新与制度创新,提高全要素生产率和长期增长潜力。 Affected by the debt crisis in Europe and the slowdown of the world economic growth, the growth rate of China’s exports dropped sharply in 2012, and the difficulties faced by the domestic economic development have increased. The Central Government upheld the general tone of seeking progress while making progress and actively responded to and proactively adjusted the steady growth in an even more important position. As a result, the pre-adjustment and fine-tuning efforts were intensified. Efforts were made to expand domestic demand and stabilize foreign demand. Economic operation initially showed a bottoming out Sign. At present, the prominent problem in China’s macroeconomic operation is that economic growth is still at a low level. Although some positive factors have bottomed out in areas such as investment, the foundation is still weak. Uncertainty about the external demand is still high. The economic downturn The pressure is still high, the problem of overcapacity is outstanding, and the economic benefits of enterprises are obviously declining. In the international economic situation is not yet clear, there is still downside risks. At present, the key to handling steady growth, adjusting the structure and grasping the reform is to lay steady growth in a more important position. Continue to implement the proactive fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy. Under the precondition of preventing excess capacity from expanding further, we will regard stable investment growth as the most effective and direct measure to stabilize economic growth in the short term and to prevent further economic slowdown. In 2013, the implementation of the proactive fiscal policy should be intensified, the deficit scale should be appropriately expanded, the structural tax reduction should continue to be the focus of the implementation of the proactive fiscal policy, the structural tax relief should be further strengthened and the number of “tax reform” should be expanded The implementation of the scope of the implementation of the area and the appropriate value-added tax to reduce the standard tax rate so that structural tax cuts in the steady growth, adjust the structure to play a more positive effect. In addition, technological innovations and institutional innovations should be actively promoted to enhance total factor productivity and long-term growth potential.