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利用向量自回归(VAR)技术,从收支一体化的角度对1978年以来我国政府公共支出和税收政策变化对经济增长的冲击以及这些冲击在GDP长期走向中的解释能力作了系统的实证研究.实证分析结果表明,我国改革开放以来的财政政策队经济运行的宏观调控方面冲击效应明显,政府的收支行为对经济的长期走向有一定的解释能力.
Using vector auto-regressive (VAR) technology, we systematically and empirically examined the impact of government public expenditure and tax policy changes on economic growth since 1978, and the explanatory power of these shocks in the long-term trend of GDP from the perspective of revenue and expenditure integration The empirical analysis shows that the impact of macroeconomic regulation and control of the fiscal policy team since the reform and opening up in China was obvious, and the revenue and expenditure behavior of the government has some explanatory power over the long - term economic trend.