专家分析认为 ,由于以下几方面原因 ,2 0 0 1年下半年国内化肥市场仍将供大于求。1)由于美国的经济增长速度将放缓 ,这将导致世界经济的衰退 ,总体形势将略低于去年。我国加入ＷＴＯ后 ,粮食市场将开放 ,进口量将比 2 0 0 1年上半年有所增加。2 )下半年的自然灾害发生率将高于 According to experts’ analysis, due to the following reasons, the domestic fertilizer market will still be oversupplied in the second half of 2001. 1) As the U.S. economy will slow down, this will lead to the global economic recession, the overall situation will be slightly lower than last year. After China’s accession to the WTO, the grain market will be opened up and its import volume will increase from the first half of 2001. 2) The incidence of natural disasters will be higher in the second half of the year