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由于外部突发事件影响及自身经济结构的局限性,2013年以来,俄罗斯经济增长持续下滑——GDP增速由2012年的3.4%降至2013年的1.3%,2014年上半年为0.8%。进入2014年下半年,随着乌克兰东部冲突不断升级、美欧对俄经济制裁一再扩大、国际油价跳水,俄罗斯经济更是提前进入了“冬天”。2014年9月,俄罗斯经济发展部、央行等部门预测2014年俄罗斯的GDP增长率为0.4%,世界银行和国际货币基金组织(IMF)的预测分别是0.5%和0.2%。
Due to the impact of external emergencies and the limitations of its own economic structure, Russia’s economic growth continued to decline since 2013 - the GDP growth rate dropped from 3.4% in 2012 to 1.3% in 2013 and 0.8% in the first half of 2014. Into the second half of 2014, with the escalating conflict in eastern Ukraine, the United States and Europe have repeatedly expanded their economic sanctions against Russia, international oil prices plunged and the Russian economy advanced into “winter” earlier. In September 2014, Russia’s Ministry of Economic Development and Central Bank predicted that Russia’s GDP would grow by 0.4% in 2014 and the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund forecast 0.5% and 0.2% respectively.