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2015年三季度中国GDP增速仅为6.9%,实体经济面对诸多困难。在此背景下,中国经济政策重心将由需求侧管理转向供给侧管理,力图通过土地、资本和人口等要素优化产业结构、加快经济增长。然而,研究供给侧的问题必然要重视经济运行的产能过剩问题。基于银行信贷角度,利用灰色关联分析信贷配给与钢铁行业产能的关系得出相关结论。从而,提出合理进行信贷配给、缓解产能过剩压力的措施,加快经济结构调整,有效实现供给侧的管理。
In the third quarter of 2015, China’s GDP growth rate was only 6.9%, with the real economy facing many difficulties. Against this background, the focus of China’s economic policy will shift from demand-side management to supply-side management, trying to optimize the industrial structure and accelerate economic growth through such elements as land, capital and population. However, the issue of supply side must pay attention to the problem of overcapacity in economic operation. Based on the bank credit angle, this paper draws the conclusion by using the gray relational analysis of the relationship between credit rationing and steel industry capacity. Therefore, we put forward measures to rationally allocate credit, alleviate the pressure of overcapacity, speed up the adjustment of economic structure and effectively realize supply-side management.