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本文以通径分析方法为工具,研究了1980—2007年间中国电力消费量影响因素的通径关系。实证结果表明,装机容量是影响电力消费量的最主要因素,国内生产总值次之;煤炭价格指数与电力价格指数对电力消费量的直接影响效应并不明显。
In this paper, we use the path analysis method as a tool to study the relationship between the influencing factors of electricity consumption in China during 1980-2007. The empirical results show that the installed capacity is the most important factor affecting the electricity consumption, followed by the GDP; the direct effect of the coal price index and electricity price index on electricity consumption is not obvious.