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本文论证了经济危机日益频繁且日趋严重的趋势 ,最近的经济危机包括发生在东亚、巴西和俄罗斯的危机。它指出 :这些都是一种新型的经济危机 ,其根源在于从私人到私人的资本流动。本文讨论了几种预防和缓解未来经济危机的方案 ,这些方案中有些是国家层次的 ,有些则需要国际间的经济协调。其中包括增加透明度、优化金融规制 (包括柔和的金融约束 )、对资本流动进行适当的管制、推行更具扩张性的宏观经济政策以及确定解决经济危机发生时的停止和疲软现象的程序。它指出 :这些措施有助于“保障经济增长” ,并且因此有助于促进社会发展和减轻贫困。它们还可以使国家得以把更多的精力投入到实现长期的、不断增强的经济增长中去。
This article demonstrates the growing frequency and severity of the economic crisis, including the recent crisis in East Asia, Brazil and Russia. It states: These are all new types of economic crisis, rooted in the flow of capital from private to private capital. This article discusses several scenarios for preventing and mitigating future economic crises. Some of these programs are at the national level, while others require international economic coordination. These include increasing transparency, optimizing financial regulation (including soft financial constraints), proper regulation of capital flows, the introduction of more expansionary macroeconomic policies, and the identification of procedures to address the cessation and weakness of the economic crisis. It pointed out that these measures contribute to “safeguarding economic growth” and therefore help to promote social development and reduce poverty. They can also enable countries to devote more energy to achieving long-term, growing economic growth.