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煤炭生产安全问题是现今社会的热点问题,对煤炭企业经济效益的获得、煤炭企业员工生命的安全、国家经济的安全以及我国以人为本、全面协调可持续发展战略目标的实现具有重要现实意义。在阐述煤炭安全预警概念、煤炭企业安全风险特点的基础上,基于供求、运输、经济和环境等因素,建立了共5大类的12项指标构成煤炭资源安全预警指标体系,并综合运用主成分分析、自回归以及K均值聚类等方法,建立了煤炭安全预警模型,运用模型来对如何实现我国煤炭安全预警进行策略指导,以期实现煤炭产业的健康、安全发展。
The issue of coal production safety is a hot issue in today’s society. It is of great practical significance to the economic benefits of coal enterprises, the life safety of coal enterprises, the national economic security and the realization of the strategic goal of people-oriented and overall coordination and sustainable development in our country. Based on the concept of early warning of coal safety and the characteristics of safety risk in coal enterprises, 12 indicators of 5 major categories were established to constitute the indicator system of early warning of coal resources safety based on the factors of supply, demand, transportation, economy and environment. The main components Analysis, autoregressive, and K-means clustering, a warning model of coal safety is set up and a model is used to guide how to realize early warning of coal safety in our country so as to achieve the healthy and safe development of the coal industry.