2003年以后,我国进入诺瑟姆曲线城镇化快速发展的阶段,城镇人口规模的扩大强化了商品房消费者房价上升预期,从而推动了城市商品房价格的进一步上升和房地产行业的快速发展。本文在房地产四象限模型基础上探讨了城镇化、城市消费者的房价预期以及房地产市场的互动机理。 After 2003, our country entered the stage of rapid development of Northam Curve urbanization. The expansion of population in urban areas intensified the expectations of rising consumer prices in commercial housing, which further promoted the urban real estate prices and the rapid development of the real estate industry. Based on the four-quadrant model of real estate, this paper discusses the urbanization, the expectations of urban consumers and the interaction mechanism of the real estate market.