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本文依据云南1978-2011年的三次产业统计数据,采用经济计量分析方法,对云南三次产业结构演变效应进行实证分析。分析结果显示,经过30多年的发展,云南三次产业不管是总量还是结构均得到较大幅度的提升,特别是第三产业对地区经济的主导作用日益显著,产业结构逐步优化,但第一产业劳动力比重过高,第二产业发展进程迟缓、对劳动力吸纳能力不足,第三产业就业人员平均产值能力过低,产业结构高度化水平低下等问题依然突出。
Based on the statistics of three industries from 1978 to 2011 in Yunnan Province, this paper uses the econometric analysis method to analyze the evolvement effect of Yunnan’s three industrial structures. The analysis shows that after more than 30 years of development, the three industries in Yunnan have enjoyed a substantial increase both in terms of total output and structure. In particular, the leading role of the tertiary industry in the regional economy has become increasingly prominent and the industrial structure has been gradually optimized. However, the primary industry The excessive labor force, the sluggish secondary industry, the insufficient absorption of labor force, the low output capacity of tertiary industry employees and the low level of industrial structure remain outstanding issues.