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原油作为世界生产过程中必不可少的能源动力以及化工用品原材料,它的价格波动通过各种方式传导至人们的日常生活中。通过对国际原油价格波动的梳理,文章将原油价格引入中间品生产函数,通过最终品的产出以及工资利率的确定,研究了原油价格波动对中国工资、利率、物价的影响机制。文章研究发现,国际原油价格因素对我国的宏观经济具有显著的冲击影响,影响到了原材料价格以及进口商品价格,通过中间品价格的传导对消费品价格、工资具有较强影响,但对利率水平影响较弱。
Crude oil, an essential source of energy and raw materials for chemical products in the world’s production, fluctuates in price in a variety of ways and leads to people’s daily lives. Through combing the fluctuation of international crude oil prices, the paper introduces the crude oil price into the intermediate product function. Through the output of the final product and the determination of the wage rate, the paper studies the influence mechanism of crude oil price volatility on the wage, interest rate and price in China. The study found that international crude oil prices have a significant impact on China’s macroeconomic impact, affecting the price of raw materials and imported goods prices, consumer prices and wages through the transmission of intermediate prices have a stronger impact, but the impact of interest rates weak.