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在编制地区电力(网)规划中,最大负荷的预测结果决定了电源、变电站的容量,决定了未来的投资规模,所以最大负荷预测是电力规划的基础,是电力规划科学性的前提。目前用电量与经济发展的关系研究已有众多研究成果,而最大负荷与电量的关系少有研究,反映二者关系的最大负荷利用小时数受哪些因素影响,如何寻找它们之间关系的规律性,是预测中的重点和难点。实际工作中发现,用电结构是最大负荷与电量关系的主要影响因素。下面以
In the preparation of regional electric power (network) planning, the forecast of maximum load determines the capacity of power supply and substation and determines the future scale of investment. Therefore, maximum load forecasting is the basis of power planning and is the prerequisite for scientific planning of electric power. At present, there are many researches on the relationship between electricity consumption and economic development. However, the relationship between the maximum load and the electricity consumption is rarely studied, and the factors that influence the relationship between the two are the factors that affect the maximum load utilization hours. How to find out the law of the relationship between them Sex, is the focus of the forecast and difficulties. The actual work found that the structure of electricity is the main load and power consumption of the main factors. Below