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基于SPSS12.0大型统计软件,运用因子分析法,选取24个指标,对甘肃省12市州进行旅游业综合竞争力评价。从中分析甘南州旅游现状竞争力得分、旅游环境支持竞争力得分、旅游潜力竞争力得分以及旅游业综合竞争力排序。采用趋势外推法预测甘南州旅游业未来一个时期将呈现持续增长的态势,表现出较强的竞争力。最后,基于对甘南州旅游业竞争力评价及预测结果,就提高甘南州旅游业综合竞争力提出五点对策。
Based on SPSS12.0 large-scale statistical software, 24 indicators were selected by means of factor analysis to evaluate the competitiveness of tourism in 12 cities of Gansu Province. From the analysis of Gannan state competitiveness of tourism scores, competitiveness of tourism environment to support the score, potential competitiveness of tourism scores and tourism competitiveness ranking. The trend extrapolation forecast Gannan tourism in the future will show a sustained period of growth, showing a strong competitive edge. Finally, based on the evaluation and forecast results of tourism competitiveness in Gannan Prefecture, five countermeasures are put forward to improve the comprehensive competitiveness of tourism in Gannan Prefecture.