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政府正更努力地把保障房托底的事情做到位在多种因素作用下,3月份以来国内主要城市房价指标降温,楼市看来正步入调整期。一时间众说纷纭,有不少人在大谈中国楼市中的“拐点”和房价的“大跳水”、“崩盘式”全面回落。但这种认识似过于极端化和过于悲观。最基本的认识框架是:中国的城镇化目前完成不到40%,而国际经验表明,要到70%左右的高位才会转入一个低平发展新阶段的状态。总体而言,中国城镇化正处于方
The government is trying harder to protect the bottom of the housing to do things under a variety of factors, since March the major domestic cities housing prices to cool, the property market appears to be entering a period of adjustment. For a time different opinions, many people talked about the “inflection point ” in the property market in China and the “big dive ”, “collapse ” overall decline. However, this understanding seems too extreme and too pessimistic. The most basic framework for understanding is that less than 40% of China’s urbanization is currently completed, and international experience shows that it will take about 70% to move into a new phase of low-level development. In general, urbanization in China is on the sidelines