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1992年,世界贸易量增长率在连续3年下降后出现了反弹,但1993年增长率又趋下降,估计从上年的4.5％降至4％左右。由于需求不振以及按贸易加权美元汇率上升,贸易单价趋于下降,估计全球贸易额增幅低于上年。1993年,世界贸易发展特点如下: 1、西方工业国经济转弱是贸易增长放慢的主因。1993年,西欧和日本经济陷入衰退,上半年,美国经济增长明显放慢,下半年,尽管美国经济回升步伐加快,欧日经济依然困难,经合组织
In 1992, the growth rate of world trade volume rebounded after falling for three consecutive years. However, in 1993, the growth rate declined again and it was estimated to have decreased from 4.5% in the previous year to about 4%. Due to sluggish demand and the increase in the trade-weighted US dollar exchange rate, the unit price of trade tends to decline, and it is estimated that the increase in global trade volume is lower than that of the previous year. In 1993, the characteristics of world trade development were as follows: 1. The weakening of the economy in Western industrial countries was the main reason for the slowdown in trade growth. In 1993, the economies of Western Europe and Japan fell into recession. In the first half of the year, the U.S. economic growth slowed markedly. In the second half of the year, despite the acceleration of U.S. economic recovery, the European and Japanese economies remained difficult. OECD