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一、房地产周期的定义房地产周期波动,是指房地产业的实际发展与其趋势之间的偏差,围绕长期趋势发生的波动。房地产经济的增长和国民经济的增长一样,不是平稳发展,而是波浪式地前进。从长期来看,随着国民经济的发展,房地产经济的发展有一个向上的总体趋势,而从中短期来看,由于自身结构的失衡或外部因素的冲击,房地产的实际增长曲线总会与趋势增长曲线发生偏离,围绕长期趋势上下波动。从经济周期不同阶段的展开过程
First, the definition of the real estate cycle Real estate cycle fluctuations, refers to the actual development of real estate and its deviation from the trend around the long-term trend of fluctuations. As the growth of the real estate economy is just like the growth of the national economy, it is not a steady development, but an advancing wave. In the long run, with the development of the national economy, the real estate economy will have an upward trend. In the short to medium term, the real growth curve of real estate will always grow with the trend due to the imbalance of its own structure or the impact of external factors Curves diverged and fluctuated around long-term trends. From the economic cycle of different stages of the expansion process