受全球石油供应充裕影响,近期国际原油持续震荡下行。而欧佩克会议结束以后,中东部分国家仍在持续释放不减产信号,导致原油价格接连刷新历史低位。纽约油价在每桶55美元左右、布伦特在60美元左右波动,相比6月下旬的水平,已经下跌了近50%。我们认为,在布伦特油价在快速下跌至60美元/桶时,已经对一些国家和石油公司产生了不同程度的影响,加上对成本的考虑,布伦特油价在60美元是个较强的支撑位,预计油价在此位置将 Affected by the abundant oil supply in the world, the international crude oil continued to fluctuate downwards recently. After the end of the OPEC meeting, some countries in the Middle East are still continuing to release signals of no reduction in production, leading to a series of historical low crude oil prices. Oil prices in New York at around 55 US dollars a barrel, Brent fluctuations around 60 US dollars, compared with the level in late June, has fallen by nearly 50%. We think that when the Brent oil price drops rapidly to 60 U.S. dollars / barrel, it has already had varying degrees of impact on some countries and oil companies. Coupled with cost considerations, the Brent oil price is strong at 60 U.S. dollars Support is expected oil prices will be in this position