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新兴工业化国家和地区的经济增长过程,已经被发现大部分是依赖于资本过度进入推进的。虽然不同国家和地区由于政治体制上的区别,对经济增长进程中要素推动的支持程度也有不同的表现,但是总体来说,它们在经济增长初期的大量投入已广为证实。不过长期而言,这种过度投入会带来深层次问题,并且经济增长在长期不能得到维持。本文采用适当方法详细讨论了对浙江资本存量的估算,并对浙江省1978至2004年经济增长的几个重要因素展开分解分析,研究浙江经济增长质量状况,从而为浙江经济长期增长的要素投入结构调整以及经济长期增长路径的选择提出可供借鉴的思考方向。
The process of economic growth in newly industrialized countries and regions has been found to depend largely on the excessive entry of capital. Although different countries and regions have different degrees of support for the promotion of the elements in the process of economic growth due to the difference in political system, on the whole, their massive investment in the early stage of economic growth has been widely confirmed. However, in the long run, such over-investment will bring about deep-seated problems and economic growth will not be maintained in the long run. This paper discusses in detail the estimation of capital stock in Zhejiang by appropriate methods and analyzes the several important factors of economic growth in Zhejiang Province from 1978 to 2004 to study the quality of Zhejiang’s economic growth so as to provide input for the long-term economic growth of Zhejiang Adjustment and long-term economic growth path of choice for reference thinking.